Filtered by category: Industry Clear Filter

Economic Uncertainty Remains High for Commercial Real Estate: JPMorgan Chase  

Originally published on May 24, 2023, by Michael Tucker for Mortgage Banker's Association.

Economic uncertainty remains high for commercial real estate through the rest of 2023, reported JPMorgan Chase & Co., New York.

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US Only Has 4 Metros Where Buying a Home is Cheaper Than Renting: Redfin

Originally published on May 19, 2023, by Ally Braun for RedFin.

here are just four major U.S. metropolitan areas where it would be cheaper to buy than rent the typical home—that is, the typical home has an estimated monthly mortgage cost lower than its estimated monthly rental cost. That’s according to a new report from Redfin (redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage.

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Hotel Sector to Have Better Year Than Initially Forecast, CBRE Reveals

Originally published on May 30, 2023, by Anneliese Mahoney for Mortgage Banker's Association.

CBRE, Dallas, raised its hotel performance outlook for this year once again, improving its forecast for revenue per available room to $97.89, up 6% year-over-year, and an increase of 43 cents from its previous forecast.

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Inflation Remains High but Shows Signs of Easing, Fannie Mae Reports

Originally published on May 12, 2023, by Nathaniel Drake for Fannie Mae.

Key Takeaways:

  • The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 0.4 percent in April, an acceleration of three-tenths from March, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Over the year, prices rose 4.9 percent. Food prices were flat for the second straight month while energy rose 0.6 percent on higher gasoline prices. Excluding food and energy, core CPI rose 0.4 percent over the month and 5.5 percent over the year. Core goods prices, which rose 0.6 percent, reversed a trend of general cooling as used car and truck prices jumped 4.4 percent. Shelter cost inflation, while still high, was cooler than earlier in the year for the second straight month as rent was up 0.6 percent and owners’ equivalent rent (OER) increased 0.5 percent.
  • The Producer Price Index (PPI) increased 0.2 percent in April after a 0.4 percent decline in March, according to the BLS. Prices were up 2.3 percent compared to a year ago, the slowest annual rate since January 2021. Core PPI (less food, energy, and trade services) rose 0.2 percent over the month and 3.4 percent over the year, the slowest annual rate since March 2021.
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Apartment Rents See Single-digit Annual Growth: Realtor.com

Originally published on May 18, 2023, by Realtor.com.

The Realtor.com® April Rental Report found that the U.S. rental market experienced single-digit growth for the ninth month in a row after 15 months of slowing. Median rent across the top 50 metros was up just 0.3% year-over-year, the lowest growth rate since the onset of the pandemic. The median asking rent was $1,734, up by $4 from last month, but down by $43 from the peak.

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Retail Fundamentals on the Decline Due to Inflation, Banking Issues: JLL

Originally published on May 9, 2023, by Keisha Virtue for JLL.

Executive summary:

  • Retail fundamentals have started to pull back as a consequence of sustained inflation and banking troubles. Consumers have responded to persistent inflation by shifting money away from discretionary goods purchases in favor of groceries and other key necessities. Discounters and online retailers win consumers’ dollars, as real disposable income wanes.
  • Net absorption totaled a modest 9.1 million square feet for the quarter – a substantial decline from the 20.1 million square feet absorbed in the fourth quarter.
  • Demand is still coming largely from discounters like Burlington and dollar stores, as well as QSRs and fast casual restaurants. In fact, aggressive expansion by QSRs and coffee chains have contributed to a record-low availability rate of single-tenant retail space at just 2.4%.
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Home Prices Rise in Seven of 10 Metro Areas in First Quarter, NAR Report Shows 

Originally published on May 9, 2023, by Troy Green for the National Association of Realtors.

Nearly seven out of 10 metro markets registered home price gains in the first quarter as 30-year fixed mortgage rates fluctuated between 6.1% and 6.7%, according to the National Association of REALTORS®' latest quarterly report. Seven percent of the 221 tracked metro areas registered double-digit price increases over the same period, down from 18% in the fourth quarter of 2022.

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Distressed CRE Loans Continue to Rise, Report Shows

Originally published on May 11, 2023, by Erik Sherman for Globest.com.

Distressed CRE loans continue to rise, according to CRE data, analytics, and valuation firm CRED iQ, which reports that most of the top metropolitan statistical areas saw significant jumps of up to 2.5%.

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Office, Industrial and Apartment Values Down, Retail and Hotels Up: NCREIF

Originally published on April 28, 2023 by the Mortgage Banker's Association.

The National Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries, Chicago, said its quarterly Property Index showed aggregate market values of properties declined for the third straight quarter; returns were negative for the second straight quarter.

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Lack of Homes for Sale Helping to Maintain High Prices: Redfin

Originally published on April 28, 2023, by Ally Braun for Redfin.

New listings are down more than 20% from a year ago as homeowners hang onto low mortgage rates, causing buyers to snap up homes quickly and keeping prices from falling further.

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Office Buildings in Big Cities Most at Risk: Goldman Sachs

Originally published on April 25, 2023, for Goldman Sachs.

Big office buildings in large U.S. cities are the most at risk from turmoil in commercial real estate, according to Goldman Sachs Research. There are signs that smaller offices in suburbs, as well as newer buildings in central businesses districts, could be more insulated from the stress.

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Banks Worried About Falling CRE Values, Officials Say

Originally published on April 28, 2023, by Henry Simpson for US Today.

US banks are increasingly concerned about falling commercial property valuations and the risk they pose to lenders’ balance sheets, senior officials said this week.

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Home Sales Decline in March Amid Tight Inventories: NAR

Originally published on April 27, 2023, by Lauren Cozzi for the National Association of Realtors.

Pending home sales decreased in March for the first time since November 2022, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. Three U.S. regions posted monthly losses, while the South increased. All four regions saw year-over-year declines in transactions.

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Cloud Computing, AI Tech Boosting Data Center Growth: JLL

Originally published on April 20, 2023, by Michael Tucker for the Mortgage Banker's Association.

Mass adoption of cloud computing and artificial intelligence is driving exponential growth for data centers, reported JLL, Chicago.

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Foreclosure Activity Climbs During First Quarter: ATTOM Data

Originally published on April 19, 2023, by the ATTOM Staff.

ATTOM, a leading curator of land, property, and real estate data, today released its Q1 2023 U.S. Foreclosure Market Report, which shows a total of 95,712 U.S. properties with a foreclosure filings during the first quarter of 2023, up 6 percent from the previous quarter and up 22 percent from a year ago.

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Concerns Over Small-cap vs. Large-cap CRE Performance Unwarranted: Boxwood Means

Originally published on April 17, 2023, by Michael Tucker for the Mortgage Banker's Association.

Small-cap commercial real estate appears to be in better shape than the larger CRE market, reported Boxwood Means LLC, Stamford, Conn.

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Hospitality Recovery Clouded by Underperforming Upscale Properties, Data Shows 

Originally published on April 11, 2023, by Michael Tucker for The Mortgage Banker's Association.

U.S. hotels have performed well overall since the pandemic, but upscale properties report higher commercial mortgage-backed securities delinquencies than more modest hotels, reported KBRA, New York.

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Remote Work, Rising Home Prices Still Influence Population Migration, Data Reveals

Originally published on April 5, 2023, by Adam Ozimek and Connor O'Brien for the Economic Innovation Group.

Key Findings

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Baby Boomers Now Largest Generation of Homebuyers: NAR

Originally published on March 28, 2023, by Spencer High for the National Association of Realtors. 

The share of baby boomers has surpassed millennials and now makes up the largest generation of home buyers, according to the latest study from the National Association of Realtors®.

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CRE Values to Drop as Banks Dump Failed Assets: Report

Originally published on April 3, 2023, by Jack Rogers for GlobeSt.com.

With interest rates still rising, prices retreating, and credit evaporating—and a stressed-out banking system moving to shore up balance sheets—expect more fire sales of older CMBS loans and acceleration of plunging CRE values in markets across the US.

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