Originally published on May 25, 2023, by The Urban Land Institute.

Positive but slow growth is in store for the U.S. economy over the next two years with a return to stronger growth and average inflation in 2025. Changes over this three-year forecast period are expected to reflect this pattern, according to the latest edition of the Urban Land Institute’s (ULI) semiannual Real Estate Economic Forecast.

Originally published on May 30, 2023, by Anneliese Mahoney for Mortgage Banker's Association.

CBRE, Dallas, raised its hotel performance outlook for this year once again, improving its forecast for revenue per available room to $97.89, up 6% year-over-year, and an increase of 43 cents from its previous forecast.

Originally published on May 23, 2023, by Hannah Jones for Realtor.com.

Highlights

• Concord, NH was the country’s hottest housing market in April, topping the list for the second time in the data’s history.
• The top 20 hottest markets are spread out across 11 states, with three metros in both Massachusetts and Connecticut.
• As price growth continues to slow nationwide, affordability remains a feature of the majority of April’s hottest markets.
• Only the Northeast and the Midwest were represented on this month’s hottest market list for the second month in a row. The Northeast was represented by 12 markets while the Midwest boasted 8.
• The St. Louis metro area saw the largest increase in its hotness ranking among larger metros compared to last year, climbing 115 spots to rank as the 91st hottest US market in April.

Concord, New Hampshire ranked as April’s hottest housing market. This is the 2nd time in the metro’s history that Concord has ranked as the nation’s hottest market. The first time Concord topped the list was in June 2022 and Concord has only been absent from the Top 20 list for 3 of the last 16 months. 

Originally published on May 24, 2023, by Michael Tucker for Mortgage Banker's Association.

Economic uncertainty remains high for commercial real estate through the rest of 2023, reported JPMorgan Chase & Co., New York.

Originally published on May 19, 2023, by Ally Braun for RedFin.

here are just four major U.S. metropolitan areas where it would be cheaper to buy than rent the typical home—that is, the typical home has an estimated monthly mortgage cost lower than its estimated monthly rental cost. That’s according to a new report from Redfin (redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage.

Originally published on May 18, 2023, by Realtor.com.

The Realtor.com® April Rental Report found that the U.S. rental market experienced single-digit growth for the ninth month in a row after 15 months of slowing. Median rent across the top 50 metros was up just 0.3% year-over-year, the lowest growth rate since the onset of the pandemic. The median asking rent was $1,734, up by $4 from last month, but down by $43 from the peak.

Originally published on May 12, 2023, by Nathaniel Drake for Fannie Mae.

Key Takeaways:

• The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 0.4 percent in April, an acceleration of three-tenths from March, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Over the year, prices rose 4.9 percent. Food prices were flat for the second straight month while energy rose 0.6 percent on higher gasoline prices. Excluding food and energy, core CPI rose 0.4 percent over the month and 5.5 percent over the year. Core goods prices, which rose 0.6 percent, reversed a trend of general cooling as used car and truck prices jumped 4.4 percent. Shelter cost inflation, while still high, was cooler than earlier in the year for the second straight month as rent was up 0.6 percent and owners’ equivalent rent (OER) increased 0.5 percent.
• The Producer Price Index (PPI) increased 0.2 percent in April after a 0.4 percent decline in March, according to the BLS. Prices were up 2.3 percent compared to a year ago, the slowest annual rate since January 2021. Core PPI (less food, energy, and trade services) rose 0.2 percent over the month and 3.4 percent over the year, the slowest annual rate since March 2021.

Read More

Originally published on May 11, 2023, by Erik Sherman for Globest.com.

Distressed CRE loans continue to rise, according to CRE data, analytics, and valuation firm CRED iQ, which reports that most of the top metropolitan statistical areas saw significant jumps of up to 2.5%.

Originally published on May 9, 2023, by Troy Green for the National Association of Realtors.

Nearly seven out of 10 metro markets registered home price gains in the first quarter as 30-year fixed mortgage rates fluctuated between 6.1% and 6.7%, according to the National Association of REALTORS®' latest quarterly report. Seven percent of the 221 tracked metro areas registered double-digit price increases over the same period, down from 18% in the fourth quarter of 2022.

Originally published on May 9, 2023, by Keisha Virtue for JLL.

Executive summary:

• Retail fundamentals have started to pull back as a consequence of sustained inflation and banking troubles. Consumers have responded to persistent inflation by shifting money away from discretionary goods purchases in favor of groceries and other key necessities. Discounters and online retailers win consumers’ dollars, as real disposable income wanes.

• Net absorption totaled a modest 9.1 million square feet for the quarter – a substantial decline from the 20.1 million square feet absorbed in the fourth quarter.
  

• Demand is still coming largely from discounters like Burlington and dollar stores, as well as QSRs and fast casual restaurants. In fact, aggressive expansion by QSRs and coffee chains have contributed to a record-low availability rate of single-tenant retail space at just 2.4%.

Download Report

Originally published on April 28, 2023, by Ally Braun for Redfin.

New listings are down more than 20% from a year ago as homeowners hang onto low mortgage rates, causing buyers to snap up homes quickly and keeping prices from falling further.

Originally published on April 28, 2023 by the Mortgage Banker's Association.

The National Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries, Chicago, said its quarterly Property Index showed aggregate market values of properties declined for the third straight quarter; returns were negative for the second straight quarter.

Originally published on April 27, 2023, by Lauren Cozzi for the National Association of Realtors.

Pending home sales decreased in March for the first time since November 2022, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. Three U.S. regions posted monthly losses, while the South increased. All four regions saw year-over-year declines in transactions.

Originally published on April 28, 2023, by Henry Simpson for US Today.

US banks are increasingly concerned about falling commercial property valuations and the risk they pose to lenders’ balance sheets, senior officials said this week.

Originally published on April 25, 2023, for Goldman Sachs.

Big office buildings in large U.S. cities are the most at risk from turmoil in commercial real estate, according to Goldman Sachs Research. There are signs that smaller offices in suburbs, as well as newer buildings in central businesses districts, could be more insulated from the stress.

Originally published on April 20, 2023, by Michael Tucker for the Mortgage Banker's Association.

Mass adoption of cloud computing and artificial intelligence is driving exponential growth for data centers, reported JLL, Chicago.

Originally published on April 19, 2023, by the ATTOM Staff.

ATTOM, a leading curator of land, property, and real estate data, today released its Q1 2023 U.S. Foreclosure Market Report, which shows a total of 95,712 U.S. properties with a foreclosure filings during the first quarter of 2023, up 6 percent from the previous quarter and up 22 percent from a year ago.

Originally published on April 17, 2023, by Michael Tucker for the Mortgage Banker's Association.

Small-cap commercial real estate appears to be in better shape than the larger CRE market, reported Boxwood Means LLC, Stamford, Conn.

Originally published on April 11, 2023, by Michael Tucker for The Mortgage Banker's Association.

U.S. hotels have performed well overall since the pandemic, but upscale properties report higher commercial mortgage-backed securities delinquencies than more modest hotels, reported KBRA, New York.

Originally published on April 5, 2023, by Adam Ozimek and Connor O'Brien for the Economic Innovation Group.

Key Findings